Saturday, June 16, 2007

Yankees Update (fourth in a series)

by Ken Houghton

Just so you don't think I'm a fair-weather Yankee/mathematician basher, I decided to update this post after the Yankees recent winning streak:
Fifty games into the season, the Yankees now need to play .795 baseball—win just shy of eight out of every ten games—the rest of the way to reach 110 wins.

So now, 65 games into the season, with a headline-making winning streak ended only yesterday (Clemens must have felt as if he were back with the Astros), where are they?
Games Left 97
Need to Win 110
Have Won 33
Remaining Wins 77
Winning Pct Required: .794

That's right. They would need to win the way they have in the past fifteen games consistently, for the rest of the season, to match the prediction.

In fact, they would have to win almost two games of every three just to reach the team's Expected Wins, per the bettors, at the beginning of the season.

The previous three posts are here, here, and here, if you're curious.

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I'm in Cleveland. We're not talking sports in Cleveland for a couple of days.
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